Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 88.326400 98.529317 108.946023 120.346178 132.441813 144.864321 158.558345
2025-02-02 74.347219 89.267714 105.143470 123.171731 142.959074 163.907227 187.653093
2025-02-09 63.517051 80.818780 99.822438 121.996943 146.925189 173.868042 204.978174
2025-02-16 55.123807 74.000950 95.339432 120.835609 150.084977 182.242221 219.929285
2025-02-23 49.520360 69.748201 93.198202 121.788592 155.143780 192.326256 236.421610
2025-03-02 44.250826 65.371373 90.467039 121.655008 158.611845 200.330921 250.333109
2025-03-09 40.161865 62.067226 88.697925 122.371172 162.826856 208.998378 264.842205
2025-03-16 35.642184 57.837113 85.484498 121.075302 164.437091 214.469294 275.527091
2025-03-23 33.014138 55.848207 84.877791 122.799375 169.522371 223.901008 290.729543
2025-03-30 30.807900 54.240128 84.610303 124.824554 174.881396 233.595055 306.202869
2025-04-06 27.697754 51.147639 82.237316 124.050241 176.701614 238.996920 316.567292
2025-04-13 24.194958 47.220603 78.544812 121.406304 176.060489 241.330744 323.203356
2025-04-20 23.318180 47.089950 79.938984 125.349689 183.681447 253.719897 341.943483
2025-04-27 22.099589 46.355530 80.453629 128.114497 189.817837 264.327416 358.598010
2025-05-04 19.700560 43.618364 78.058373 126.931090 190.875897 268.681982 367.701279
2025-05-11 17.523706 41.042016 75.745604 125.738432 191.828372 272.838085 376.514283
2025-05-18 16.167828 39.686154 75.092330 126.715113 195.518742 280.340570 389.368605
2025-05-25 14.620988 37.873496 73.677922 126.578206 197.712086 285.950546 399.898816
2025-06-01 13.428497 36.567645 72.937258 127.311807 201.000462 292.902137 412.059964
2025-06-08 11.836468 34.391076 70.778812 125.984373 201.516220 296.334060 419.870436
2025-06-15 11.085197 33.700380 70.843052 127.750408 206.103262 304.884589 433.992199
2025-06-22 10.453830 33.181875 71.139567 129.824583 211.091290 313.944718 448.758383
2025-06-29 9.277055 31.468349 69.476598 129.031574 212.199292 318.052911 457.370759